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EGYPT AND THE MIDDLE EAST:  WHAT NEXT?

by Maj. Gen. Paul E. Vallely (Ret.)

What is the next move in the Middle East?

(Feb. 2, 2011) — What is striking about the Chessboard moves and the current crisis in Egypt is the rapidly changing scene and evolution of events and uprisings. The Chess Masters in Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood are playing out their moves very judiciously and both fully understand the domino effect of radical Islam, the caliphate and Jihad. Yes, we do have three games in one: Chess, Poker, Dominoes!

This is not a set of events that one has the luxury of focusing upon individually. Egypt is key but not the only chess move in play. The chess board, or match, is a series of matches with many simultaneous games being played at once. The master is adept at playing many at once as Grand Master Boris Spassky and others did in worldwide chess competition.

The moves on the chess board have global impact because of energy, global trade, and finances. If the trade routes are cut off or disturbed when oil and other goods cease flowing, the world economy (already at a precipice) could implode in hours and days with a twelve day global financial collapse scenario. After-all, it ostensibly started as a food problem in Tunisia; say the pundits, but of course, it is much more.

The dollar and global currencies, already falling in value, would plummet. The year 2011 may be, in fact, the year of the Apocalypse or at least a series of apocalyptic events that changes the United States and the world as we know it.

Why are there no serious initiatives on the part of countries outside of the Middle East? Iran and Syria continue to stir the pot unmolested! Iran no longer hesitates to state publicly that its forward defense line now passes through “Lebanon and Palestine.” In practice, the Lebanese-Israeli border is in fact Israel’s border with Iran. Let us not skip over the importance of Lebanon. Israel is now tightly surrounded by a well-organized radical Islamic effort, akin to the pre-1967 war status. Enemies became peaceful neighbors, and now those peaceful neighbors are no more.

Power in Iran is closely held by the Mullahs and IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard) and no visible external support of the Iranian opposition forces. China and Russia comfortably play their pawns on the chessboard as they view the demise of the United and States and other semblances of historic Western power. I believe there is a real connection between Soros/Obama factions (the Progressive Socialists) in this global restructuring.

Speed is paramount now and political planning for 2011 and 2012 is a fool’s errand. The time is now to think outside of the daily routine. Chess Masters in Iran have played their cards well, and now it’s a domino effect. They have planned well, and useful dupes are doing their bidding. I am impressed that the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) is being talked about much more in depth, but we need to show that it is orchestrated, right down to Muhammad el Baradei. This is not a set of events we have the luxury of focusing upon individually.

No one knows what will happen in Egypt in the next few days. Will the Mubarak government succeed in clamping down on demonstrators and put an end to the reform movement? Will Mubarak manage to stay in power by offering political and economic reforms? Or is he finished? If so, what happens next? Today he offered to step down and stay out of the scheduled September election cycle in a speech the world awaited with baited breath. But alas, early word is that is not acceptable to the rioters.

No one knows the answer to those questions, including the Egyptians themselves. But these demonstrations have the potential of being like the fall of the Berlin Wall and the Shah of Iran, with ramifications for every Muslim country, secular, or otherwise.

So far, the Obama administration seems unsure how to respond to the Egyptian demonstrations. They’ve done everything from seeming to support the country’s democratic movements to seeming to support Mubarak’s continued efforts to remain in office. They angle to arrive at a peaceful transition, a coordinated succession, but the cards left in the deck for the west are not Aces, Kings, or Queens.

February 1 has seen the largest congregation of protesters in Cairo’s Tahrir Square since protests began in earnest there January 25. However, media reports appear exaggerated. Based on the size of the square and the average limit of one person occupying 2.5 square feet in a densely packed crowd, Tahrir Square can accommodate approximately 200,000 people. However, images from Tahrir Square show empty spaces in the middle of the square and along the edges, meaning it is not yet at capacity.

This is significant, as the difference between 200,000 and 2 million protesters is 3-4 percent versus 26 percent of Cairo’s population of 7.75 million. This difference holds political consequences, a small minority or a sizable part of the population indicate the driving forces, showing us that political inducement is underway, not just a band of hungry people.

For Iran, Hezbollah serves as a live and successful model for these revolutions, one which is reflected in other organizations such as Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and other Palestinian terror organizations, as well as extreme Shiite organizations in Iraq trained by Lebanese Hezbollah. Hezbollah is nourished by the growing strength and power of Iran and draws upon its successes, and both parties recognize that the fall of one also signifies the demise of the other, and the enemy of my enemy is my friend.

The Special Tribunal for Lebanon investigating the Hariri murder, which is about to publicize its findings, may offer an opportunity for the West to reverse the trend and take the initiative to reduce Iranian influence in Lebanon, and weaken the power of Tehran. However, the current state of affairs will likely eclipse any opening there for the west. Confusion is a great cloak, and Iran now has a huge cloak to cover Hezbollah.

It appears that our State Department and White House still remain asleep at the switch, while the Shiite Iranians and Muslim Brotherhood are very busy and fastidious in resetting the chessboard in the Middle East to their liking. What has Iran been doing in addition to moving their nuclear program forward? They are actively becoming the hegemonic power of the Middle East and are supporting the international jihad, and the recreation of the Caliphate, and unlike the United States, they are very clever at using proxies to do their dirty work.

Iran has planned a larger, bolder strategy for the demise of Israel, and it is unfolding now! There is far too much coordination to assume otherwise, and the proof is in the movement of the chess pieces now becoming manifest.

In Lebanon, the silent 2008 coup Hezbollah orchestrated is almost complete now. And now, the STL is ready to produce indictments. Will the West now be too cowardly to deal with the facts and conclusions in fear of Iran in light of recent events? Will it even matter now that Iran has, through its proxies and collusion with factions in so many countries, placed the term Caliphate back upon our lips?

Iran is also the behind the scenes on the Palestinian initiative to declare statehood in 2011. Coupling these efforts with the possible Islamization of so many other countries, along with extensive dealings and fraternization with Venezuela, North Korea, and others, one can see the global impact, and it does not bode well for the west.

The Iranian puppet master has set the chessboard of the Middle East in such a manner that they control almost all of the attack points, and a feckless west is doing nothing, thus appearing to have no power to change the tide. Continual signs of weakness in the West embolden Iran more each day. It is clear, Sharia Law is on our doorstep, and as Code Pink and other anti-American leftist groups support such efforts, our own fabric of society is disintegrating. Seen any new Mosques pop up around you lately? Mosques do not follow Muslim populations; Muslims follow the path to Mosques being built. Continual infiltration is a master chess move, and Iran and their Muslim Brotherhood allies are winning that battle as well.

The pawns are strong now and their ability to move has been changed. They are more akin to Rooks and Bishops and are ready to pounce. The Israelis have been effectively set into a corner, and the west is not a friend anymore, and they now have to deal with a paradigm they have faced in the past, a complete encirclement of enemy States. Jordan’s King Abdullah II just fired his cabinet for what some reports allege was consorting with the Muslim Brotherhood, and once again a real concern once again lies on the eastern Israeli border.

The change in the pieces on the Chess Board is virtually complete and the puppet master has won, again; because of the weakness of US and other western leadership. Consider this; Sunni uprisings in Lebanon after Hariri is removed from power took place just days before the Tunisian man self-immolated, sparking riots. Then countries across the entirety of the Mediterranean erupted in chaos. And now, supposed unrest is erupting across the globe, coincidence? NO!

Iran’s master chess moves now force Israel to fight a multiple front war with little help expected from the west. If this cycle continues, the west may be so embroiled with internal chaos that Iran can act with relative impunity. A preemptive strike by Israel now, will mean a simultaneous fight with Hezbollah as well as Hamas, a founding member of the Muslim Brotherhood. Israel understands this is the new chessboard; US authorities do not, and the United Nations is now a caricature of odd proportions, dubious intent, and blatant conspiracy.

Iran is not getting distracted by its ongoing efforts to undermine the U.S. troops and interests in Afghanistan on one side and Iraq on the other, nor in Syria and Lebanon. It appears to welcome it, as chaos is their ally.

U.S. policy toward Iran and others must change now to better promote our national security interests and strengthen our resolve to face this growing threat and the coming global Caliphate. We must change our strategy soon before more of our men and women die for naught. We must also prepare for it to spill over right here, at home. Remember, Iran watches us closely, has prepared intensely, and is a master of exploiting any event for its own ends, and make no mistake, their proxies are already here.

Iran has set the chess board, held aces up their sleeve, and the dominoes are falling. They are firmly in control of the puppet strings and all the chess pieces are not just in the Middle East anymore; all the while Russia, the USA, China, and western nations just posture. Iran is an adept Puppet Master, a Poker-faced powerhouse, and a Grand Master Chess player (and we and others have allowed it to happen!).

Next move…CHECKMATE!


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Harry H
Friday, February 4, 2011 10:41 AM

Spaulding is probably right about “vastly complex strategies” being executed, which is precisely why General Vallely’s article is lacking in perspective. If it were as simple as Obama being an Islamo-fascist, how do you explain so many Jews supporting and guiding Obama, from George Soros, David Axelrod, Rahm Emanuel, Larry Summers, Elena Kagan, William Ayers, et. al, including the Jewish community at large and what Spaulding calls “the ragtag revolutionaries around Ayres and Dohrn”? Do you think Jews are that stupid? I don’t.

Friday, February 4, 2011 5:12 AM

I don’t agree with this Chessboard analogy much. To much credit given Iran. Israel isn’t our ally. Never was. I’m sure the USS Liberty survivors would agree. Israel is a parasite nation at best. It’s always been surrounded by so called enemies. Look at the way they created Israel. The way they treated the indigenous population. I wonder why they won’t win any popularity contest. Anyway they have enough nukes to blow all their enemies away. We need to worry about the commies right here. Let those idiots in the Mid-east kill each other off. This is all more NWO nonsense. Just another distraction while they tighten the noose around our necks right here…..

Spaulding
Friday, February 4, 2011 4:18 AM

General Vallely always makes sense. What remains a puzzle, besides the one posed by Charlie Rose, “What do we know about Barack Obama?”, is who is pulling the strings. We’ve seen rentamobs before. As a close friend noted, watching television coverage in Cairo where hijab-wearers are a distinct minority, every women knew this was about Islam because all were covered, as female property must be! Our state-run media are doing Obama’s bidding, even to inspiring violence. Granted, Obama is the paid face, the anchor person, though his teleprompter reading needs work, but this is a well-planned revolution.

From what little we know about Barack, his recruitment at Occidental by Black Panther founder Don Warden, later called Khalid al-Monsour, when Don went to work for Alwaleed bin-Talaal, makes a strong case for Saudi Involvement. As Percy Sutton, Malcolm X’ attorney and long time New York Assemblyman told us, it was Monsour who asked him to help get Barack into Harvard. At about the same time Bin-Talaal donated about $20 million to Harvard, and launched the Alwaleed bin-Talaal Islamic Center in the Divinity School. Barack couldn’t hide his involvment with Rashid Khalidi, Chicago neighbor, PLO propaganda minister, Chicago and later Columbia professor, and frequent dinner guest. Egyptian Edward Said, whom Khalidi, seceded at Columbia, was also an acquaintaince.

Most relevent to the current activities, and much less obvious, is John Brennan, former Deputy CIA Director, who has been a mother hen to Obama since before the election. Brennan is a fluent Arabic speaker, virulently anti Israel, who has spent much time in Saudi Arabia. There is a recording of Brennan addressing a pro-islamic group at Columbia in Arabic about his hopes for the triumph of peaceful Islam in The Middle East.

When questions about Obama’s background began to arise in 2008, it was Brennan’s employee, Lt. Charles Quarles, who “cauterized” Obama’s passport files in State Department archives in Washington, and who was himself cauterized, by a bullet through his head as he sat in his car in front of his church in Virginia. Condaleeza Rice apologized to everyone but an investigation headed by Joe Biden turned up nothing suspicious. The “thieves” were claimed to be perpetrating identity fraud, though only McCain, Clinton and Obama’s files were accessed, and only Obama’s “cauterized.” Wonder how many credit cards were issued to Barack Hussein Obama and used to buy big screen televisions?

What is clear is that factions in the CIA have long held the opinion that without Israel the problems with Palestine and much of terrorism would simply disappear. Michael Sheuer, also former CIA and frequent television commentator holds the same opinion. Could this opinion have held such sway in the CIA that the “Obama plan,” the attractive con man with no past, was created to “protect” us by eliminating the Israel problem – becoming the friend of Israel’s virulent but largely incompetent enemy?

The Senate has been a party to it. Given the signature by all senators in April of 2008 to the Pat Leahy resolution 511 in which Leahy agrees, both in hearings and on his web site with HSA Chair and Judge Michael Chertoff, who said: “My assumption and my understanding is that if you are born of American parents, you are naturally a natural-born American citizen.” To every senator, and every representative, that means that law has been suspended. One Congressman challenged anyway and was immediately beset with ethics charges concerning a tax deduction allowed almost a decade before, Georgia’s Nathan Deal. He resigned, and is fortunately now Georgia’s Governor.

Obama plays basketball and makes speeches while vastly complex strategies are executed. He clearly has little to do with with the planning, but none are likelty to suprise him. He hadn’t seen the healthcare bill, but then neither had any of the legislators. Obama was already supporting the Kenyan Marxist Odinga’s political campaign in 2007, and knew in advance of the plans for Muslims to rampage through Christian villages to force a power sharing agreement from the Christian presidential campaign winner.

This sounds like CIA activity. John Podesta is certainly not there to oversee covert intelligence. John McCain, whose heroism involved being shot down, is another whose motives are always suspect. McCain, whose eligibility for the presidency was thoroughly impugned by the liberal press before Summer 2008, and dozens of law review analysis, suddenly became their darling when Obama was pulled from obscurity. Obama’s Havard adviser and Con Law professor Larry Tribe wrote a brief for the Senate Judiciary Committee in McCain’s behalf, and which can be found in Senate Res 511 Archives. Larry sat on Obama’s campaign committee. Larry was also protected from possible censure, and even expulsion, for plaigiarizing another author in a recent book by Elena Kagen. If McCain hadn’t run, one of those Senators who signed Sen Res 511 might have said “Hey wait a minute.” “Didn’t we just agree that a natural born citizen is born of two citizen parents?” “Didn’t Barack tell us he was born a British Subject, to a British father?” Thus that McCain would visit with Obama and come out ordering Mubarak to leave town is not a surprise. McCain is already deeply complicit. He was bought long ago. Soros supported him lavishly for McCain Feingold. He didn’t get top billing for the Keating 5 fleecing, but no one there was clean; he just had friends in high places.

How much of our government has escaped any feelings of the constraints defined by our Constitution? Every lawyer knows that until there is an injuction, Obamacare is illegal – unconstitutional by Judge Vinson’s decsion. Everyone in our government, certainly all of congress and all supreme court justices, know Obama’s father was never a citizen, and some can even name a few of the supreme court justices who stated the common-law definition – since virtually all definitions in The Constitution are from our Common Law at the time of the framers. Ironically, it was the great John Marshall whose brilliant clarity was used to explain the unconstitutionality of Obamacare by Judge Vinson, who told us in The Venus, 12 U.S. 253, that he preferred Vattel’s concision in explaining that a natural born citizen was “born on the soil of citizen parents.”

We are experiencing rule without the protections of our Constitution. Our customs continue, so it doesn’t seem so different – yet. It is possible that the activity in Egypt is meant to cover the attempts to destroy our economy here, and, under cover of a complicit press, push until fuel and food prices lead to war, an excuse for martial law, and restructuring of our society while most of us are standing in line for rations, some are freezing, some are starving, and none will dare fight back. The European nations will be most affected by the closure of the Suez, and all of them are in the process of being Islamicized. Most births in these contries are to Muslim children, as Mark Steyn explained. These eventualities were openly anticipated by the ragtag revolutionaries around Ayres and Dohrn. What they are doing, de-stabilization, is hardly a new idea. They called it “helter-skelter.” What is new is that the government of the U.S. has assumed the leadership of the push for Islamic domination. Obama’s cadre apparently aren’t worried about domestic legislation or elections. I’m afraid we are learning why, and further, can see no agency better suited to executing a plan of such “audacity” than our own CIA?

Larry M. Meyer
Thursday, February 3, 2011 5:19 PM

“AND, at the Beginning or the Twenty-First Century, There will come unto the World a MAN, HE Will be: YOUNG, BLACK of COLOR, of the MUSLIM FAITH, and will be “THE DEVIL INCARNATE!!”
HE will Bring WARS and DEVASTATION and Profound HATRED Unto the WORLD and be “OMNIPOTENT”~~the PERPETRATOR of HUMANKIND’S DEMISE, and RULER of the WORLD!!”
Paraphrased from: “The Nostradamus Quatrains!”

One Pissed-off Vietnam Vet
Thursday, February 3, 2011 12:48 PM

This Vet salutes the Maj. General for telling it like it is. The only thing I would add is that our foreign policy of appeasement, or of paying for protection, “You keep the Suez Canal open and we’ll pay you 10 billion USD/yr”, is about to bite us in the ass. All of these years our politicians have been saying we’ve got to become energy independent, that is, until they get to Washington when they quickly learn what side their bread is buttered on. They get bought off: don’t rock the boat/don’t bite the hand that will pay for your reelection.
Now days if you make too much of a fuss you are discredited, and our current fouth estate is only too willing to follow the dictates of the White House, or, in our case, Iran, or a similar proxy there-of.
I believe that the General is 100% right on target when he writes that Israel is surrounded by enemies that will be only too damn happy to behead each and every Jew. I hasten to add “So goes Israel, So goes the United States”.
If Israel does look like it’s going to go down, there is no doubt that they will unlesh their nuclear arsenal, and I wouldn’t blame them on iota. The question is, what do we do? What will we do? We know that Obama is anti-Israel-pro-Islam but does that mean that members of our armed forces will follow illegal orders, orders such as attack Israel on the side of Iran? If a sub commander gets the order to launch a nuke on Tel Aviv, will he do so?
If I were on active duty, I will now go on record saying that I would NOT follow any order that would aid in any way an Islam country. Also, if I were an agent of the current government, I would NOT follow any order that was illegal, such as “go knock and talk” to a certain Tea Party person just for attending a public gathering. Intimidation is just as illegal as harassment. The suspension of habess corpus hasn’t happened, yet.
We have two types of people in the United States today: those that support the Constitution and those who could care less and don’t give a damn.
Reminder: Democrazy and Sharia Law are opposites. Also, islam is akin to fascism, a political philosophy, and not a religion.
Thank you for a well written article, General Valley.

Tim
Thursday, February 3, 2011 9:34 AM

Egypt now fears Obama a ‘Manchurian President’

http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=258937

One Pissed off Vietnam Vet
Thursday, February 3, 2011 5:09 AM

Well Harry H, I would much rather have Israel run America then have Islamic maniacs run America. The latter is exactly what we have.

Harry H
Reply to  One Pissed off Vietnam Vet
Thursday, February 3, 2011 4:10 PM

Canada Free Press had an interesting article on the subject, reprinted at http://socialismisnottheanswer.wordpress.com/2010/12/06/who-runs-america/ .

NEIL TURNER
Thursday, February 3, 2011 12:44 AM

3-4 % of the population of Cairo being ‘pro-active’ is the number that Ghandi and MLK were looking for to achieve their goals – peacefully (25% wasn’t necessary – then).

However, they were dealing with ‘civilized and play-by-the-rules’ entities, not the likes of the Muslim Brotherhood (as in Muslim = jihad and Sharia, Brother = Oh, Brother!, and hood = hoodlums to the extreme).

We must remove the Muslim Brotherhood’s main support here in America, Usurper in Chief, Barry Soetoro/Barack Obama, ASAP, so that we can hold special elections within 3 months – to install a legitimate and constitutionally qualified President and Commander in Chief.

Everyone should get behind the demands on Rep. Darrell Issa to subpoena whatever documents will prove or disprove Obama’s ability to issue anything other than unlawful orders.

ISSA’S THE KEY
TO SETTING LTC LAKIN FREE!

jtx
Wednesday, February 2, 2011 5:20 PM

An excellent article telling it like it is. And all the while our way-left politicos in Congress and those fools in the Third Branch know full well that Obama sides with the Islamists … recall he said he’d “… stand with them if things turned in an ugly direction …”.

The guy is an IslamoCommunist completely eager to overthrow our country (I was going to say “his country, but it is now apparent that it is not really his country at all but merely something he wishes to destroy and hand over to the Caliphate as he angles to become the Mahdi (Islamic equivalent of President of the World).

It is time for people in the US to wake up lest they are stoned to death and beheaded!!!

sky
Reply to  jtx
Thursday, February 3, 2011 11:05 AM

this needs to be shown to we the people atlahmedianetwork.org video resign in 90 days

Harry H
Wednesday, February 2, 2011 3:21 PM

The good general presents a most one-sided view here. To add a little perspective, I will change just one key word in this sentence of his: “Remember, Israel watches us closely, has prepared intensely, and is a master of exploiting any event for its own ends, and make no mistake, their proxies are already here.” If I remember correctly, Ariel Sharon once told his cabinet,”Don’t worry about the United States; they will do what we tell them to do.” (If that is not an exact quote, it is a very close paraphrase.) Israel runs America.